Taiwan go bye bye
Oct 14, 2021
Vox Day: Why the US Will Not Defend Taiwan.
He makes seven points. The fifth and seventh are the most significant.
If the Chinese leadership is smart and patient, then they can own Taiwan without any military conflict. The US as an entity will come to an end within the next two decades. The question of will the US or will it not will be moot. The Taiwanese have been living a soft, comfortable existence for many years. Given a stark choice between assaulted by an overwhelming military machine or simply giving up their fickle autonomy, they'll take the easy path.
Vox is right. China doesn't need to start a conflict because they have become so powerful. Merely the threat of war will be sufficient. That's the most likely outcome.