I’ve reached the opposite conclusion, luck is 80%.— Cernovich (@Cernovich) May 18, 2020
The other 20% or less matters immensely.
Hell think about coronavirus and shutdowns. Straight bad luck for some and great luck for others.
Still people who say shit like “you got lucky” almost never even showed up to gamble. https://t.co/ioot79Ie72
There are a few big ways luck plays a part:
- Economic system / stability.
A mentally retarded girl born to poor Muslim parents in a hardcore socialist country in the midst of a war would definitely qualify as very unlucky.
However, most people don't really mean luck in that sense. Usually, when they say "you got lucky", they're referring to someone in a similar environment as themselves. A kid who studies hard to ace a test or practices for months to win a sports competition wasn't just fortunate relative to his peers. Telling him that "you got lucky" would be a cruel way of dismissing his hard work.
This thinking is quite common among adults. For example, most people have no clue about the risks a person has to take to succeed in business. Their contempt is obvious when they say, "that jerk just got lucky." These mediocrities trash those who thrive. The prudent ones recognize the golden opportunity to emulate the successful and better their lots.
Anyway, if one can boil it down to its essence, then:
Success = Knowledge + Willpower + Luck