The Greatest Stumbler
Jan 19, 2020
The Atlantic: Donald Trump Stumbles Into a Foreign-Policy Triumph.
At a briefing in London on Monday, I asked a panel of RUSI staffers whether, given that assessment, they considered the air strike a triumph for the president. No one on the panel demurred. Michael Stephens, a former British diplomat who is now a research fellow at RUSI, told me later that it was clear how badly the Iranians had been hurt, both in practical military terms and in pure national pride. “This has fundamentally changed the game and opens up the space for de-escalation,” he said. “It was a sucker punch which has scrambled their understanding of how the Americans might react in future. In the short term, it’s a triumph for Trump.”
Every option available to Iran now comes with huge risks, and the lack of serious response—so far—has damaged the Iranian regime’s reputation. The recent accidental downing of Ukrainian International Airlines Flight PS752 has also hit it hard, revealing a frightening incompetence as well as a limited retaliatory power.
Trump stumbled with getting the new NAFTA deal. He's also stumbling with the recent Chinese trade deal. He'll likely stumble in November by getting another four years in office. The guy is just the best at stumbling. BIGLY.
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