Silver melts
Nov 08, 2016
Earlier today Nate Silver's 538 had Trump at 28.6% chance of winning the presidency. At bloody 10 p.m., they bumped that up to a staggering ... 27%. WTF? (Laughs!)
And now, about twenty minutes later? Trump has a 55% chance of winning.
By the way, the New York Times has Trump at 88% chance of winning.
Update 1
538: Trump at 52% chance of winning. Seriously?
NYT: Trump at 93% chance of winning. Trump on track for 300+ electoral votes.
Update 2
538: Trump at 48%. These guys are idiots.
NYT: Trump at 95%+.
Update 3
According to 538, Wisconsin was set for D+5.3. It might end up R+4.
That's a spectacular statistical fuck up in such a close election.
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