Silver melts

Earlier today Nate Silver's 538 had Trump at 28.6% chance of winning the presidency. At bloody 10 p.m., they bumped that up to a staggering ... 27%. WTF? (Laughs!)

And now, about twenty minutes later? Trump has a 55% chance of winning.

By the way, the New York Times has Trump at 88% chance of winning.

Update 1
538: Trump at 52% chance of winning. Seriously? 

NYT: Trump at 93% chance of winning. Trump on track for 300+ electoral votes.

Update 2
538: Trump at 48%. These guys are idiots.

NYT: Trump at 95%+.

Update 3
According to 538, Wisconsin was set for D+5.3. It might end up R+4.

That's a spectacular statistical fuck up in such a close election.